The Illusion of AI Expertise Under Uncertainty: Navigating Elusive Ground Truth via a Probabilistic Paradigm

Abstract

This paper studies how disagreement in reference labels can obscure differences between expert and non-expert performance. Expected accuracy and F1 scores provide a probabilistic view of evaluation, motivating comparisons stratified by the certainty of the reference answers.

Publication
arXiv preprint
Ravid Shwartz-Ziv
Ravid Shwartz-Ziv
AI Researcher

AI researcher at Meta MSL with a background in information theory and computational neuroscience, working on world models, memory, and compression. Former Assistant Professor and Faculty Fellow at NYU, collaborating on research across academia and industry.

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